Poliitikot puhuvat korkeintaan 2 asteen l\u00e4mpenemisest\u00e4, mutta todellisuudessa heid\u00e4n toimensa valmistelevat sit\u00e4, ett\u00e4 maapallo l\u00e4mpenee t\u00e4ll\u00e4 vuosisadalla 4 astetta. Pahimmassa tapauksessa jo noin 50 vuoden kuluttua, vuonna 2060, olisi 4 oC esiteollista aikaa l\u00e4mpim\u00e4mp\u00e4\u00e4. T\u00e4m\u00e4 olisi varsinainen helvetti, jossa suurin osa ihmisist\u00e4 kuolisi – jollei muuhun niin n\u00e4lk\u00e4\u00e4n. Asiaa koskevia uusia tutkimuksia vet\u00e4\u00e4 yhteen Climate Action Centren uusi raportti \u201d4 degrees hotter\u201d:<\/p>\n
http:\/\/www.climateactioncentre.org<\/p>\n
Olisiko aika ottaa oppia egyptil\u00e4isist\u00e4 ja suorittaa vallankumous t\u00e4\u00e4ll\u00e4kin: kumota ne valta- ja ajatusrakennelmat, joiden puitteissa on luonnollisempaa tuhota nykyisenkaltainen maapallo kuin fossiilikapitalismi?
\nAlla lainauksia raportista.<\/p>\n
Just two months before the fifteenth meeting of the Coalition of the Parties (COP15) in Copenhagen, \u201c4 degrees and beyond\u201d was the focus of a 28-30 September 2009 International Climate Conference at Oxford. It brought together many of the leading scientists and some disturbing research, and received extensive media coverage. A number of the papers presented have just been published by the Royal Society. The conference heard that:<\/p>\n
…
\nA 4C global average rise means on average about 5.5\u20136C warmer over land, especially away from the coast. Where people could actually live with land suitable for growing food (with the much greater evaporation rates implicit at +6C), and above existing deltas and flood plains as sea-levels rise, would be limited. On 30 November 2007, Reuters reported: Children born today in countries such as Spain and Italy will witness a 7 degrees Celsius rise in summer temperatures by the end of their lives, the European Union\u2019s environment watchdog warned on Tuesday. Much of the tropics would be too hot, much of the temperate regions desertified. The \u201c4 degrees and beyond\u201d conference heard that 4C could render half of the world uninhabitable. Populations would be driven towards the poles, and practically-speaking that means the north pole. How many would survive? On 29 September 2009, at the conclusion of the \u201c4 degrees and beyond\u201d conference, \u201cThe Scotsman\u201d reported:<\/p>\n
Professor Kevin Anderson, director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change, believes only around 10 per cent of the planet\u2019s population \u2013 around half a billion people \u2013 will survive if global temperatures rise by 4C…<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Current Met Office projections reveal that the lack of action in the intervening 17 years \u2013 in which emissions of climate changing gases such as carbon dioxide have soared \u2013 has set the world on a path towards potential 4C rises as early as 2060, and 6C rises by the end of the century.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Anderson, who advises the government on climate change, said the consequences were \u201cterrifying\u201d. \u201cFor humanity it\u2019s a matter of life or death,\u201d he said. \u201cWe will not make all human beings extinct as a few people with the right sort of resources may put themselves in the right parts of the world and survive. But I think it\u2019s extremely unlikely that we wouldn\u2019t have mass death at 4C. If you have got a population of nine billion by 2050 and you hit 4C, 5C or 6C, you might have half a billion people surviving.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Earlier, in March 2009, at the Copenhagen science conference, Professor Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute, and one of Europe\u2019s most eminent climate scientists, told his audience that at 4C, population \u201c… carrying capacity estimates (are) below 1 billion people.\u201d<\/p>\n
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